"Santa Cruz County is expected to bypass the statewide housing trends in 2008.
The CBIA forecasts 2,200 housing starts in the Central Coast area, which runs from Santa Cruz to Santa Barbara counties. From 2002 to 2005, an average of 4,581 single-family homes got permits; the number dropped to 2,000 in 2007. Multifamily homes, often less than 1,000 units, are not a significant factor.
Between 2,000 and 3,000 new jobs are projected in 2008, a slight improvement over 2007, but down from 7,000 in 2005.
Dennis Norton, Capitola land-use planner: 'Nothing new is coming down the pike. I think it's going to be a slow year. The business in Santa Cruz is remodeling; compared to new homes, the ratio is 10 to 1 or 6 to 1. The only people building are on the high end, people who aren't affected by the economy. A third of my clients are like that. They're from over the hill. One paid $2.7 million for property in Pleasure Point, tore down the house and will probably spend $2 million to build. As for smaller houses, I don't see that. That may be true in the spec business but nobody is in the spec business now. Maybe the condos under construction on 41st Avenue. They just started framing on that project.'"