Monday, May 05, 2008

The State of the Market: Not as Bad as You'd Expect?

According to Market Watch,

"Top officials with the National Association of Realtors and Standard & Poor's, which issues the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, agreed this week their monthly reports are giving imprecise readings of price changes at all levels -- national, state and regional -- due to rare market conditions that are skewing survey results."
These "rare market conditions" include an anomalous trend in which sales of more expensive homes are dropping do to tighter lending restrictions and sales of less costly homes are spiking due to increased foreclosures. These phenomena combine to dramatically lower the national median home cost.
In addition, the S&P/Case-Shiller index tracks just 20 major markets in the country, making its data less than representative; and, the fact that the index has only been around since 2001 is good to keep in mind to keep some perspective when it issues reports using language such as "plunged by a record" and "fastest rate ever."
In the end, Chris Plummer reports that, according to the NAR's Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, "pockets of severe price declines in local markets are skewing figures. If homeowners want to determine their property's value, it's never been more critical to take the measure of recent sales by home-price level in their town or city neighborhood."
For a free report to determine the value of your home based on local market conditions, contact me directly at frank@frankmurphy.net or 831-457-5550.
To read the article in its entirety, click here.